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On this page

  • 1 Where it fits
  • 2 Python API
  • 3 Minimal example
  • 4 summary() contract

Poisson

Poisson GLM for count outcomes

from _api_doc_utils import *

1 Where it fits

Group: Regression

Poisson fits

\[ \mathbb E[Y_i\mid X_i=x_i]=\exp(\alpha+x_i'\beta). \]

The alpha constructor argument is an L2 penalty, not the intercept. summary(vcov='vanilla') reports Fisher-information standard errors; summary(vcov='sandwich') reports robust QMLE-style standard errors.

2 Python API

Constructor: cm.Poisson

Use fit(x, y) with nonnegative count-like outcomes. predict(x) returns fitted conditional means. The class also supports bootstrap(B, seed=None).

print(inspect.signature(cm.Poisson))
(alpha=0.0, max_iterations=100, tolerance=0.0001)
cls = cm.Poisson
display(HTML(html_table(["Public method"], public_methods(cls))))
Public method
bootstrap(self, /, n_bootstrap, seed=None)
fit(self, /, x, y)
predict(self, /, x)
summary(self, /, vcov='vanilla')

3 Minimal example

rng=np.random.default_rng(7)
x=rng.normal(size=(250,2)); mu=np.exp(.2+x@np.array([.4,-.25])); y=rng.poisson(mu).astype(float)
model=cm.Poisson(max_iterations=200, tolerance=1e-8); model.fit(x,y)
print(model.summary(vcov="vanilla")["coef"])
print(model.summary(vcov="sandwich")["coef_se"])
print(model.predict(x[:3]))
[ 0.26320223 -0.29275249]
[0.0578437  0.05367217]
[1.01940438 1.34302229 1.319153  ]

4 summary() contract

The table below is generated by fitting the live class in this repository and then inspecting summary(). Shapes are shown because most values are plain NumPy arrays or scalars.

rng=np.random.default_rng(107); x=rng.normal(size=(100,2)); y=rng.poisson(np.exp(.2+x@np.array([.4,-.25]))).astype(float)
model=cm.Poisson(max_iterations=200); model.fit(x,y)
summary = model.summary()
display(HTML(html_table(["summary() key", "shape"], summary_shape_rows(summary))))
summary() key shape
intercept ()
coef (2,)
intercept_se ()
coef_se (2,)
vcov_type ()